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One month will be considered really fast. I have no idea how long it will take. Basically, GAI has submitted motion to dismiss the claim and its more than 30 pages :) The outcome that I am hoping is GAI to exit Bimini business after this. After all, the rumour of Genting wanted to sell the Bimini resort should be true and could have triggered the whole thing :)
Yeah.. But Look at miami land... It take more than 5 years still can't find buyer too..
Now focus more on gens better.. Next year will be better year for genting
Genting's leisure and hospitality segment major contributors are - GenS, GenM (Malaysia) and US (RWLVS) followed by UK + GenM (US - NYC, Hudson Valley, Catskills, Bahamas). GenS's growth is on-going with RWS2.0. RWNYC full casino license is key for Genting's growth. Both of these shall the be key driver for Genting in the future.
As Is - If I were to go by numbers; RWLVS (1bil revenue) and GenM US (500M revenue). RWNYC full casino license will bring it closer to RWLVS contribution :) And hopefully, exit Bahamas segment in the future.
I will add but not now, Whack9e. I would like to see a min 250M net profit results at the back of 700M ebitda for Q3. My personal expectation is 250M each quarter to justify a valuation of 3.00 for GenM; without RWNYC full casino license.
The next nevada gaming commission meeting will be held on 19th Dec. Hopefully, there will be disposition plan for the AML complaints related to RWLVS by then; putting a closure to the chapter since Aug'24.
It has been hammered in the past by forex losses and its GenM's turn to steal the limelight, jian wei. Lol, no pun intended. my personal expectation is just 700M ebitda and min 250M net profit and it delivered 1.05bil ebitda 569M net profit. Leisure and hospitality segment itself delivered 721M ebitda. No risk to dividend payout as usual :) The only thing that I could not figure out is the 200M ppe write-offs whether it is related to the two gaming facilities that were closed for renovations. ebitda would have hit 1.2bil without the write-off. It will be the same similar expectation going into Q4 even though its holiday season; leisure and hospitality segment should be trending to mid 700M to high 700M ebitda. The growth opportunity for GenM is RWNYC full casino license and it will be seasonal until then - festive/holiday seasons driving higher footfalls from domestic tourists and international tourists. There are some plus and minus from revenue for different segments; within single digit comparing to Q2; flattish if you will. just my opinions, could be wrong. hope it helps
provided it did not gap up, jian wei :) my situation may not be the same as yours - avg price, rate of returns, risk tolerance, tp target, 15 cents yearly dividend, investment timeframe and etc. Putting all these aside; though I am at running loss below 2.24, it is still considered favorable for me to add below 2.18 and 2.00 based on underlying assumptions that I have baked into my own calculations. I will exit if (1) min 15 cents yearly dividend is at risk from the earnings report (2) unsuccessful bidding of RWNYC full casino license. These are just my own plans tailor made to my own assumptions back in 2nd half of 2023 when I first bought GenM at 2.45.
It would be interesting to see what happens when market opens haha, I bought some at 2.12 during market closed yesterday as I knew the forex gain will be massive ..but anyway, I agree that as long as GENM can maintain dividend payout of 15sen, it would be very worthwhile to buy genm as long as it is below 2.2
thats a really nice entry price, jian wei. near term volatility expected due to index funds rebalancing as GenM being replaced by Gamuda and everything will be sorted out when the changes takes place by 24th Dec :)
what is your perspective on this, vun? dividend is quite a topic as I have seen quite some comments related to dividend including using debt for dividend :)