eric leow
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These headlines buried a powerful message. if dj crash again next week, Trump will lose face but if it rises, everyone cheers. powerful mind game
cheng
Crash boom bang. Trump wanted to flex his muscles and thought that other countries will "bow" to his demand. I hope more countries to retaliate back :) KLCI has to go down too especially the blue chips and banking stocks.
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cheng
MAGA - Make Asia Great Alliance or Make America Go Astray
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Admiral Adama
will trump chicken and back down after china retaliated?
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cheng
Trump wanted Xi to meet him in US and Xi couldn't be bothered with Trump's rhetorics. Xi did not attend Trump's inauguration. So, it will only cool down when these two meet face to face. Trump travel to China or Xi travel to US; stakes are high now.
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Admiral Adama
maybe xi will agree to meet trump in june for "birthday" summit, or else the next meet will be on g20 summit november.
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cheng
Possible. But if history were to repeat, we should expect crash boom bang down the road. One similar event in the US history was 10% tax hike back in 1968 by the president back then Lyndon B. And US growth slowed down starting 1969 until the bottom in Jun 1970. One may argue that there's Vietnam war but it was the tax hike that started the economic deceleration. So, 25% steel tariffs, 25% automotive tariffs followed by baseline 10% tariffs and higher reciprocal tariffs for individual countries at the back of AI bubble bursting and overvalued US stocks will speed up the economic deceleration. May not take 1.5 years to see the bottom like 1968 tax hike.
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Admiral Adama
in 2018, the s&p500 reached bottom within a month after they called truce when they met face to face in december.
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Admiral Adama
however the truce only happened after 3rd round of tariff tug of war.
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cheng
yeah. this round is bigger and Trump wanted all countries to negotiate with him. Haha. Smaller countries may give in. Waiting for Japan, Korea and Europe's response.
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Admiral Adama
small potatoes do not have cards to retaliate but surrender. Just like us malaysia, we got nuts but we do not have cards haha...
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cheng
That's true. So, the way it works is to increase imports from US in order to reduce the reciprocal tariffs based on how the number is computed; trade deficit. But to do so, there is a need for consumption/demand in the smaller country itself. Maybe agriculture products or lower taxes for US MNCs operating in these smaller countries.
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eric leow
Haha we are just scavengers better stay aside and let the predators do their kills
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cheng
Europe's first response / strike back should be announced in the evening today. Another round of sell down for KLCI blue chip and banking stocks tomorrow :)
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eric leow
I am telling you, these countries are calling us up, kissing my ass," Trump told a Republican event on Tuesday in Washington.

"They are dying to make a deal. ’Please, please sir, make a deal. I’ll do anything, I’ll do anything sir,’" Trump said mockingly imitating a foreign leader.

What an asshxlx!!
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cheng
Chill, Eric. That how desperate Trump is to get Xi's attention :) there is no reason for Xi to entertain Trump's rhetorics. Just look at his response after China hit back with 34% on all US products. He increased the tariffs on China products to 104% and that's how vulnerable Trump is - agriculture products / the farmers that supported him :) from a structural position, US consumers will be the victim bcos of his rhetorics. So, China need not now to his demand :)
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eric leow
Chill chill just can't imagine a high profile figure would say such a thing publicly haha. by the way Xi Jin ping is paying us a visit next week. Starts to channel their excessive goods to us soon?
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cheng
Not so much on imports dumping, Eric. Malaysia and China has good bilateral relationships from trading perspectives. China imports more from Malaysia than exports to Malaysia. Click on Malaysia and you can then see imports/exports to Malaysia. https://tradingeconomics.com/china/imports-by-country
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eric leow
Thanks for the info Cheng but those are past data b4 reciprocal tariff. now is a different ball game, payback time perhaps? correct me if I am wrong
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cheng
It's not China/reciprocal tariffs if there is a change to imports/exports between MY and China. China's self sufficiency strategies resulted from Made in China 2025 to the lesson learned from first trade war made it ever ready to cushion the impact from global supply chain shock. MY has to be competitive and step up it's self sufficiency strategies.
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