Dialog 冲啊………. 再套利一半……….147仓剩下四分之一………. 那天147这个价位像瀑布一般涌出来,看你敢买吗…….. 这种好股跌法是割老板良机,老板大户一定出手扶盘的不然亏死它们然后不小心中margin call更死哈哈哈哈哈哈…………ybs今天也fifo成功,通水一下我已套利清仓了………….. 马股主题是20 26旅游年,自己找机会低价买入aviation,hospitality,consumer,reit sector………. 今年财政预算案一定会出台很多对旅游业支持的政策的………. 当然不是马上涨,大户需要收巨量的票,然后推上去分几个月才出完货的………..闪人不回复……….

之前朋友们一直叫买手套股说流感在北京很严重床位都不够,我说别笑死我了,你快点在业绩前出货清仓，我在中国十几天没一个人带口罩，问北京做旅游的朋友，他说冬天当然多人伤风感冒，北京酒店爆满价格一直在起。。。。。。。台湾第一旅游选择还是日本。。。。。。讲了N次，流感有疫苗打的，而且是季节性的，夏天一来就消失无踪，这是普通常识来的。。。。。。别看太多抖音和小红书视频，那些都是要流量夸大其实的，不要呆子看了视频以为有第一手消息以为只有你看到哈哈哈哈哈。。。。。。。闪人不回复

harta冲啊………. 再套利爽爽……….171仓………. 刚刚你敢买吗…….. 这种好股跌法是割老板良机,老板大户一定出手扶盘的不然亏死它们然后不小心中margin call更死哈哈哈哈哈哈…………今天fifo成功,通水一下我已套利清仓了………….. 马股主题是20 26旅游年,自己找机会低价买入，我讲的出就是要你们帮手接票做韭菜！哈哈哈，闪人不回复……….

*Key Messages from Harta 3QFY25 Briefing? (UOBKH)*

*Surprisingly negative tones from management, causing share prices of glove stocks declining c.15% during the briefing ?.*

*i) Volume sales:* 7.6b in 3QFY25(+12% qoq). There’s delayed shipment of 300m pieces of gloves order due to port congestion issues. This 300m pieces delayed shipment have carried forward to March quarter (4QFY25) and managed to ship out.

*- Volume sales?.* While volume sales c.2.5b pieces throughout Oct-Dec 24, upcoming Jan-March Q will see a *13-19% volume sales decline.* For 4QFY25 (March Quarter), management guided utilisation rate of 70-75% (from current 86%). This worked out to be c.2.1b-2.2b pcs/month vs 3QFY25’s c.2.5b (Dec 24) volume sales.

*- Volume sales?.* Weaker QoQ volume sales mainly due to frontloaded purchase by US clients, causing excess inventories to only be depleted in April-May. Expect normalisation of purchase pattern from US customers only in 2Q25 (calendar year).

*ii) Capacity ?:* Progressively commissioned new lines in NGC 1.5, and in 3QFY25 running capacity of 37b by end-FY25. Ramp-up costs of this 37b capacity (additional 10 production lines) have been partially factored in 2QFY25 previously, only additional labour cost incurred in 3QFY25.

*iii) Utilisation rate ?:* Utilisation rate +9% qoq to 86% on adjusted capacity of c.35b.

*iv) ASP ?:* QoQ, blended ASP improved c.4% in 3QFY25 to c.US$22.20/1k pcs. Management guided that blended ASP in 4QFY25 (March Q) will likely be flattish, as they are rolling over ASP level and maintain through March-April.

*v) Cost?:* Raw material cost decreased c.5% qoq in 3QFY25, recent months stabilised and easily passed through by higher ASP. Natural gas cost flattish in 3QFY25.

*vi) China competition??:* Channel checks revealed that China players lowered ASP and selling c.US$15 (previously US$16-17) in Europe regions. *China may look to shift their previous aggregate supply to US of c.30b pieces in phases.* Intco building a plant in Indonesia, at stage of building columns, another China players wanted to invest in Indonesia, some looking at Cambodia, or partnership to expand plant in Vietnam or Thailand. Earliest maybe by mid-2026.

*vi) Rationalisation and Rightsizing in Motion?.* Harta is intensifying cost rationalisation, previously carrying additional headcounts (plant 8 and 9) in anticipation on turning on these lines and because gov’s foreign workers quota. Previously foreign workers level kept at highest level possible, now looking to establish rational capacity. *Looking to reduce headcount from 8k to 7k within 2 quarters* (sufficient for 2.3b pcs production/month

*My two cents and views?*

? *Not out of the woods yet?.* Expect selldown in near-term on seemingly challenging outlook and weak 1Q25 (Jan-March) guidance. Believe such trend will be similar across other domestic glovemakers.

? *Maintain HOLD,* our current TP of RM3.66 is under review.

? *While we’ve consistently highlighted our neutral view as opposed to several bullish peers⚖️,* we advocated investors to take profit since Jan 2025. At this level, we’ll be monitoring closely for entry points instead especially after this selldown.

? *Dont follow the herds?.* While 1Q25 earnings may not be great, 2Q25 onwards the restocking activities from US customers will again return, lifting volume sales by c.20-25% off 1Q25’s low base. *Look for entry points again when the coast is clear.*

Roy相信自己………没信心便不玩…………harta早上开盘没跌我便不玩了,昨天暴跌早上起少少大机率是要抓人的………昨天已通水今天开盘跌才好玩反弹秒套利,开盘前我排了248买入,开盘一起我便delete buy 了,不得空一直盯着要开工………还想玩harta的,248至258和235至238是support zone,给你们参考………闪人不回复等着客户来吃饭哈哈哈哈哈哈哈

特朗普讲，如果BRICS国家（中国、俄罗斯、印度、巴西、南非）做出影响美国经济的贸易决定，美国可能会对它们的产品征收100%关税，意思就是这些国家的出口去美国会变贵很多，可能会影响生意和经济。

另外，一些国家很依赖外国投资，如果钱大量流出，政府可能会很头痛，甚至财政部长会辞职。因为外资跑掉，可能会导致本地货币贬值、股市跌、经济不稳，政府难以控制，所以财政部长可能会被逼背锅下台。

谁吹水了？我可是真的照着肥弟哪套捞底赚钱的。基本上没输过。。。。深跌只要反弹我就一定赚钱，买入就是支撑，处处都是支撑，就如阿婆是女人，一个小时有60分钟，吃了就会排泄，这些道理这么简单，你们居然学不会？我好心再透露多一点给你们，只要反弹后，就一定有票在手赚钱的，没反弹前不要仙家写太多，就是这样简单，你们细品。。。客户约我去按摩潜水了，闪人不回复！

各位观众，肥帝可是试过飘的，那时候的Armada,ttv,和现在的云顶。还没反弹就车大炮，结果armada套了差不多两年，电视机应该套到现在，还有一个什么yxpm三毛多吃到脚抖又套两年。最记得云顶4.8的时候，他跑吹去老人药，过后直接中套，有一次反弹他在那边金子发亮结果又跌下去几天。现在就来个旅游年。。。。

这个choppy market玩fifo要玩市值大的公司,尽量少碰仙股,一块以下都是仙股………. 要玩仙股fifo要看准在半小时内定输赢才好入场………. 今天fifo diy 成功哈哈哈哈哈哈哈…………我也想低调可是实力不允许哈哈哈………. 今天gens出业绩还没去看,刚打完麻将准备回家……….. 现金太多也是烦恼,可惜epf最多放一百千哈哈哈……..闪人不回复………各位晚安…………