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PPB Group, which saw its share price dip to RM11.86 today, remains a company with strong fundamentals and a history of solid earnings. Its upstream earnings are expected to rebound in the coming quarters, supported by firm palm oil and sugar prices. While market volatility can be unnerving, it’s essential to remember that downturns are a natural part of the investment cycle. For long-term investors, staying focused on well-managed, debt-light, and dividend-paying companies like PPB is a sound strategy.
Navigating Near-Term Challenges
PPB Group is currently facing headwinds that have weighed on its performance and share price, including:
Inflationary Pressures: Operating costs across sectors such as manufacturing and consumer goods have risen.
Regulatory Setbacks: FFM Group, PPB's grains and agribusiness arm, was issued a RM42.7 million penalty by MyCC for infringing Section 4 of the Competition Act 2010.
Declining Associate Contributions: Wilmar International Ltd, in which PPB holds an 18.8% stake, has delivered weaker contributions, particularly from its China operations and sugar division.
Segmental Revenue Pressures: Declines were observed in PPB's consumer products, film exhibition and distribution, and property segments, alongside the absence of contributions from its divested Indonesian flour operations (as of September 2023).
Despite these challenges, the question isn’t whether PPB will recover, but when.
Strategic Strengths and Future Prospects
PPB Group holds a competitive edge as Malaysia’s largest flour miller, benefiting from an extensive distribution network and economies of scale. The expected ample supply of wheat and lower raw material costs in ringgit terms could bolster profit margins in its flour milling business, a core revenue driver.
Wilmar International, PPB’s key associate, remains integral to its overall performance. While 2024 core net profit from Wilmar decline to about USD 1.25 billion due to challenges in its China operations and sugar division, earnings growth is anticipated in subsequent quarters. Improvements in global economic activity are likely to spur demand for food products, while higher crushing margins are expected to lift the performance of Wilmar’s feed and industrial product segments.
Moreover, Wilmar’s ongoing commitment to strengthening its existing operations and pursuing complementary business opportunities underscores its focus on long-term growth, which will, in turn, support PPB's bottom line.
Conclusion: Quality Through Volatility
PPB Group’s track record as a profitable, dividend-paying, and debt-light company underscores its resilience. While short-term volatility persists due to external pressures, the company is well-positioned to weather the storm. Investors with a long-term perspective should view this period as an opportunity to focus on the quality and intrinsic value of PPB, anticipating a rebound as global and internal challenges ease.
TMK Chemical Berhad's initial public offering (IPO) subscription period is notably brief, opening on November 25 and closing on November 29, 2024. This four-day window is shorter than the typical one to two weeks allotted for IPO subscriptions. Additionally, the company is expected to release its quarterly financial report by November 29, coinciding with the subscription deadline.
The timing raises concerns that if the forthcoming financial report reveals unfavourable results, it could negatively impact investor sentiment and the stock's performance upon listing.
For the financial year ended December 31, 2023, TMK Chemical reported a profit after tax (PAT) of RM91.6 million, a decrease of nearly 40% from RM150.34 million in FY2022. Revenue also declined by 12% to RM1.31 billion from RM1.48 billion in the previous year. TMK’s full-year 2024 performance will depend heavily on the continued ramp-up of the Baling Plant which commence operation in May 2024 and management’s ability to improve profit margins.
Investors should exercise caution and consider awaiting the release of the latest Quarterly financial report before making investment decisions. This approach allows for a more informed assessment of the company's financial health and prospects. But what if the quarterly report is release after 5pm on 29th Nov?
Since its listing on Bursa, DCHCARE has encountered considerable financial challenges, reporting a net loss of RM18.49 million over the past twelve months and maintaining a negative profit margin of 32.82%. The stock has exhibited marked volatility, with weekly fluctuations averaging 10%, placing it among the top 25% of the most volatile stocks on the Malaysian market.
I believe the company’s strategy to expand its aesthetic services footprint—from 12 outlets in Q2 2023 to 17 in Q2 2024—alongside the launch of new product lines under the Ten Doctors brand and four additional outlets dedicated to slimming services, shows a strong commitment to growth. This increase, bringing the total to 21 outlets in Q2 2024 compared to the previous year’s 12, could create favourable prospects for financial recovery. However, the success of these initiatives will likely depend on broader market conditions and prevailing investor sentiment.
DC Healthcare Holdings Berhad, a Malaysian aesthetic medical services provider, has been actively expanding its operations by opening new branches across Malaysia. Their aggressive growth strategy has led to increased administrative and advertising expenses, contributing to recent financial losses. For instance, in the fourth quarter ended December 31, 2023, the company reported a net loss of RM1.07 million, despite achieving a revenue of RM17.57 million.
The share price has experienced a significant decline, closing at RM0.16 on November 8, 2024, marking a 69.23% drop over the past year. This downturn can be attributed to the financial losses and market concerns regarding the sustainability of its rapid expansion.
But I think the company's strategic initiatives, such as the establishment of new clinics in key locations like Johor Bahru and Ipoh, aim to tap into high-income markets and drive future revenue growth. Additionally, the implementation of an Employee Share Option Scheme (ESOS) is intended to align employee interests with company performance, potentially enhancing operational efficiency and profitability.
And I think, the share price may remain under pressure in the short term due to ongoing financial challenges and market scepticism. However, if the company's expansion efforts lead to increased market share and profitability, and if the ESOS successfully motivates employees to drive performance, there is potential for share price recovery in the medium to long term.
I think this will rebound sooner than later by 2nd Quarter 2025.